CHELTENHAM FESTIVAL DAY 3

Well its been a very intriguing often dramatic opening two days with some stellar performances, some shocks and another ” Annie Power ” moment.

It has also been quite profitable and if I had any balls left would have been amazing , that said the trade flip side did benefit when I traded Bennie out at 1.12 before Ruby took a tumble over the last.. again ….

So we move into Day 3 and for traditionally the hardest day as a punter but could be a great day for Longbow and as the Bullet and Buckle bets will come into play today as he is the Hcap specialist.

We Start the day off with the JLT a rough race that is full of almost and has been and in some cases should have been….

We should start of with Defi Du Seuil a horse of unknown potential and proven ability however 11/4 for a horse with such obvious flaws is cheap and for me that’s a Lay , yes the form against the likes of Vindication and more importantly Lostintranslation is very strong but equally it has shown how frail he can be and in what will be a race decided by tactics in the attritionnal ground I think the price is skinny as I had it up at 4/1.

Capeland is a strange one at 25/1 from a red hot trainer and ticks every box?…cant work this one out?..Kidisart looks a decent type with some heart and at 8/1 is just within range of being an EW selection however I will side with the rather unfortunate Ruby Walsh on VOIX DU REVE at around 8/1 is not brilliant value but offers enough to feel happy that you got involved, he had his pick and went with this, has bumped into a smart one in Le Richbourg last twice and stayed this trip well over hurdles although lto I was very underwhelmed as it looked beaten and done for when falling at the last but I still think it is worth a small stakes EW.

RESULT : DEFI DU SEUIL Won this at 3/1f however having managed to get on at 4.6 with Betfair I had it in a small stakes Dutch and won £60 so I am happy enough, the form is true and the race was well contested with Lostintranslation ( Traded at odds on in running after the last ) running into 2nd having held every chance at the last and Menghli Khan who ran a fine race 7L back in third only coming undone after the last ( as many do ).Defi

Next up is the PERTEMPS a Hcap Hurdle over 3m and this is a Bullet Race.

Bullet Bet – First Assignment @ 15.0 (Re assessed at 13:51) – Champers on Ice –

Buckle Bet – Thermistocles @ 16.5 (Re assessed at 13:51) – Flemcara –

Result – Ultimately before or after this was a complete washout however I didn’t have a bet as the market was so screwed in the final three minutes I just left alone..in fact the only bet I fancied was a lay on Sire Du Berlais as I felt it was short enough at 4/1 to be taken on given that it had achieved little this year but they have applied cheekpieces and you add this to a clear round and this then ran out a neck Winner at 4/1f..so a little bullet swerved and time to re gather for the next race

RYANAIR time in the 1450 and as usual this is a very well contested race often besmirched by many and derided by many for using it as a race for horses that just are not good enough for the graded races which then opens up the argument of making it a Handicap?.. discuss….

Anyway , FOOTPAD I will have in my dutch for this, thought by many to be a spent force however its lto run was full of promise and old attitude and I think he will be tip top for this . This will be Dutched ( Same Stake ) with UN DE SCEAUX a horse I have enjoyed many a success on over the last 5 years and a horse I believe still retains plenty of enthusiasm and form and sparked enough for me with its only run this term to suggest this still has a big race inside

RESULT : Firstly neither Footpad or Un De Sceaux were placed or even close to it as both bottomed out very badly so a loss for me..however lets all cheer for the excellent Bryony Frost who along with Racheal Blackmore have shown themselves to be absolute top drawer jockies and she ( Bryony ) romped home on Frodon for gaffer Paul Nicchols with Aso 2nd and Road to Respect running on for third, not the result I wanted or expected but a good one for racing and this is pretty much the end of these two now as Graded stars as that light has well and truly been dimmed.

Next up is the Stayers Hurdle and for many a banker race due to the number of people thinking that Paisley Park is unbeatable today and the 6/4 is a gift!. Well I fucking disagree , Yes PP is a very smart horse who could still be improving and has shown some very tasty form this season

I will take him on at those odds with the likes of Supersundae , Top Notch and the frustrating Yanworth and lets not forget the one time brilliant FAUGHEEN now an 11 year old and nearing the end of his days at his peak I think the 9/2 could be a decent price and if he has recovered from his lto fall and has come on just enough he will be a tough nut to crack, this all said If Paisely Park runs exactly the same as he did lto then he will probably win by 6L … so I will follow my heart and not my head..6/4 for this race is too short after all he is nor Sprinter Sacre..yet.

RESULT : Well after much umming n Arring I decided to have a dutch only thing rather surprisingly my head rules and I had the Majority of it on Paisley Park and it Won..hats off everywhere and not a dry eye in the house..just bloody superb beating Faugheen into 3rd…great great race!!. and I WON £200 ;-Paisley.png

The 1610 is a straight up Bullet Race.

Bullet Bet – Eamon An Cnois @ 12.5 -This was a very good 4th and hit 2.26 after the last but just couldn’t sustain the challenge  but with 22 runners it’s a winning bet.

Buckle Bet – River Wylde @ 14.5 -Fell

Now its time for the less glamorous races , these are party fillers imo and in truth I feel the meeting should be shortened to three days with a lot of this dross being removed and run on a separate open day. POSH TRISH is in my tracker and I see no reason why I should be swayed, likes all ground and trip, is bang in form as is the stable n jockey..tick tick tick..11/2 looks like its a free EW bet and well worth including in a nice EW Trixie.

And the Finale is a Bullet Race…

Bullet Bet – Kilfilum Cross @ 15.0 – Another solid bullet bet as this runs a cracker for 2nd at a well backed 7/1 so the 15.0 I took was rock solid and that’s two seconds from three races at big odds and a good profit … the Bullet Bets  Rock!!

Buckle Bet – Speaker Connolly @ 16.0

And that rounds up the days events pretty well, don’t forget the Bullet Bets can be subject to alteration upto 5 minutes prior to the race going off, its an algorithim guided by market forces..that forces the change so stay upto date and get updated…Good Luck and have fun!!.

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